A series of successful bets — luck or experience?

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On the site Paribet you can find a huge number of interesting and useful articles about bookmakers and betting on sporting events. Start Paribet login and study the article in detail to understand how luck works in sports betting. Many betting users are interested in the moment associated with a series of victories. They do not understand that it is a coincidence or a clear calculation and full credit to their head. On this topic there is a huge amount of reasoning and articles, here will be collected all the most important and necessary to get answers to emerging questions.

In almost every sport there are athletes and teams, to resist which is not just difficult, but sometimes even impossible. From modern history, we can recall the example of tennis player Roger Federer, who is unstoppable on the courts of Wimbledon. Fans of athletics know about the famous athlete from Jamaica, whose name is Usain Bolt, and he has not known defeat for a long time at his favorite distances of 100 and 200 meters. Boxer Floyd Mayweather finished his own career without having a record in the defeat column, which is an outstanding achievement. However, it begs the question, what contributes to such results? Are we witnessing historic events or is it just fortune playing into the hands of the leaders?!

Testing the theory with a coin

In order to check all winning streaks with the help of ordinary probability theory, let’s try to replace the athletes with an ordinary coin. All it will take is to take an ordinary coin of any denomination and flip it 100 times. According to probability theory, the chance of falling out the same side 6 times in a row is as much as 75%, while witnessing a series of ten identical results in a row is only 10%.

For easier perception, let’s represent the eagle as the letter O and the tails as X. After that, let’s write down the obtained results on a piece of paper and see the following:

xooxoxoxoxoxxxoooxoxoxoooxoxxoxxxooooxoxoxooxoxooxoxxxoxxxoooxoooxoxo

xoxoxoxoooxoxooxoxoxoxxxooxoxoxoxoxoxoxoxoxoxoxoxoxoooxxxxooxoxoxoxo

xoxoxoxxoxooxxxoxoxooooxoxxxoxoxxxxooooxxxoooxoooxoxoxoxoxxoxooxxooxo

xoxoxoxxxxooooooooooxxoxoxooxxxooxxxxoxoxooxoxoxxxooxoxoxoxxoxoxoxoxx

Examining the record, almost everyone will notice that in the fourth row there is a rather protracted series of eagle falls. It counts 10 falls on the same side of the row, but what can it mean? Does the eagle fall out much more often than the tails?! Maybe it’s because the fourth strip is better?! No, it just means that there is a streak of identical results. But no one has any guarantee that such a streak will be a winning one!

Factors affecting the result

Outstanding results of all athletes are first of all a huge amount of their personal labor and endless training. Sometimes matches, races and duels are won on pure skill, but not always it alone can be enough for a long-awaited “victory”.

As a rule, many people note that the following factors are necessary to achieve the desired result:

  1. Mastery — without it it is very difficult to defeat opponents, but still having in your arsenal other factors, you can count on success.
  2. Experience — this moment is important, but not always it can provide real help. Therefore, do not blindly rely on it when confronting youth and experience.
  3. Luck — sometimes this factor plays a key role. In sports there is a huge number of examples when a clear outsider becomes a champion. Of the latest it is worth noting the example of soccer club “Leicester City”, which without having the world’s stars in its composition achieved victory in the APL.
  4. Form — the physical and moral condition of athletes plays an important role. This is especially true for principled confrontations.

Conclusion

A series of successful or unsuccessful games can have different causes of origin. That is why before betting on a team with a long winning streak requires weighing the pros and cons. It is especially important to remember this in those moments when the upcoming confrontation will not change the tournament position of the leader.

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